Research Article | | Peer-Reviewed

Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model

Received: 22 March 2024     Accepted: 7 April 2024     Published: 15 August 2024
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Abstract

This research investigates the profound impact of land pollution on soil degradation, stemming from human-made (xenobiotic) chemicals and alterations in soil composition. The framework explains a comprehensive nonlinear fractal fractional order eco-epidemic model, delineating four compartments: Susceptible soil (S), Polluted soil (P), Remediation or recycling of polluted soil (T), and Recovered soil (R). The study rigorously establishes the non-negative and unique existence of solutions using the fixed point theorem while analyzing the local and global stability of equilibrium points under pollution-free equilibrium and pollution extinct equilibrium. Dula’s criterion confirms periodic orbits, while categorizing changes in secondary reproduction numbers provides crucial insights into pollution dynamics, enhancing our understanding of system dynamics. Local and global sensitivity analyses, employing forward sensitivity and the Morris Method, yield essential findings for informed decision-making. Additionally, Adams-Bashforth's method is employed to approximate solutions, facilitating the integration of theoretical concepts with practical applications. Supported by numerical simulations conducted in MATLAB, the study offers a nuanced understanding of parameter roles and validates theoretical propositions, ultimately contributing valuable insights to environmental management and policy formulation.

Published in International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science (Volume 9, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12
Page(s) 38-51
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Soil Pollution, Fractional Order Model, Stability, Adams Bashforth Technique, Lyapunov Function, Sensitivity Analysis

1. Introduction
Mathematical modeling serves as an indispensable tool for comprehending the dynamic mechanisms underlying the spread of infectious diseases and devising effective strategies to mitigate economic losses. A pivotal achievement in mathematical epidemiology lies in the formulation, prediction, and identification of disease control measures through rigorous mathematical expressions. Traditionally, epidemiological models have compartmentalized a constant population into three categories: susceptible, infectious, and recovered. The evolution of these models has seen the inclusion of various compartment classes, adapting to the variation of available descriptive information. In the budding stages of research, the discourse predominantly revolved around integer-order differential equations. However, recent strides in the field have witnessed the emergence of fractional-order mathematical modeling, playing a substantial role in addressing a diverse array of challenges in engineering, epidemiology, ecology, and biology. Fractional calculus, as a generalization where the conventional integer order gives way to a fractional order, provides a more varied approach . Notably, as the order approaches one, the solution of the fractional order converges to that of the integer order system. The fractional order system introduces two critical properties—the memory property and hereditary property—which are not adequately captured by any integer order system. These properties contribute to a more accurate representation of real-world phenomena. The fractional order system aligns well with theoretical descriptions of various mechanisms, offering a sophisticated understanding of dynamics . Over the last few decades, various types of fractional calculus, including Riemann–Liouville, Caputo, Atangana–Baleanu, Caputo–Fabrizio, Katugampola, Hadamard, etc., have been introduced extensively to scrutinize the dynamics of epidemic models. This ongoing exploration holds the promise of refining our capacity to model and comprehend intricate systems across diverse fields.
Subtrapaul, et., proposed the dynamical behavior of the COVID-19 epidemic SIQR model in terms of fractional order. S. S. Askar, and Dipankar Ghosh, studied the h-stability of the Caputo fractional order differential equation by using some fractional comparison principle and the Lyapunov direct method. Mukherjee D, and Mondal R, deal with the fractional order prey-predator model of the dynamical system for the reserved area and present the numerical analysis of hopf-bifurcation. Zizhen Zhang et al., formulated and analyzed the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic models with an isolated class of fractional order. Many researchers proposed many models in eco-epidemiology and analyzed the various stability properties, existence, and non-negativity of the solution . Numerical approximation of the proposed model has been done by the Rung-Kutta method, Taylor series method, Adams Bashforth and Adams Moulton method, Adomain and Laplace Adomian decomposition method, Homotopy method and generalization of homotopy method . In this work, the Laplace Adomain decomposition method is used to study the approximate solution of the proposed model. The Laplace Adomian decomposition method was introduced by Adomian in 1980. This is a very effective method to find the explicit and numerical solution to the physical problem of ordinary and partial differential equations with nonlinear initial and boundary conditions. It can also be used to study many deterministic, stochastic diffusion models with and without delay. There is no perturbation and linearization is required and also no extra memory is required to solve this problem which is the main advantage of the method .
Sensitivity analysis (SA) is increasingly popular in developing more efficient models, requiring reliable statistical and mathematical methods to enhance modeling accuracy. SA serves various purposes, including developing decisions or recommendations, communicating, understanding, or quantifying systems, and refining models. During model development, SA verifies validity or accuracy, simplifies and calibrates weak processes or missing data, and identifies important parameters for further studies. These applications highlight SA's versatility and importance in refining models and optimizing decision-making processes.
The main aim of this paper is to study the mathematical model of Caputo fractional order soil pollution. Soil is the main requirement for living and non-living organisms. In the case of contamination of soil as such oil spill, excess use of heavy metals, and inorganic fertilizer, the soils are polluted. All polluted soil contains compounds that include metals, inorganic iron salts (phosphates, carbonates, sulfates, nitrates), and organic compounds (lipids, DNA, fatty acids, alcohol). These compounds are mainly entered through soil microbial activity and decomposition of organisms (animals and plants) . The main soil pollution has an unfavorable two-way impact on food security, due to toxic contamination, which can reduce crop yields and be unsafe for consumption by humans and animals. Currently, the degradation of soil and land is affecting 3.2 million people which is 40% of the world’s population. It is necessary to treat the damaged soil and to maintain better soil management practices to limit soil pollution.
In this study, the work is carried out as follows: In Section 2, the mathematical model of the Caputo fractal fractional order SPTR model is presented. Section 3, analyses the existence, uniqueness, boundedness, and non-negative of the solution. In Section 4, we discuss the equilibrium and stability analysis. An adaptive control and sensitivity analysis are performed in Section 5. In Section 6, the numerical approximation of the solution of the model is done. In Section 7, the numerical simulation and discussion are given. The conclusion is given in Section 8.
2. Description of Caputo Fractional Order SPTR Model
The dynamic model for soil pollution comprises four distinct compartments: susceptible soil areas S(t), polluted soil areas (P), areas subject to necessary remedial treatments (T), and the recovered subclasses (R). Soil contamination typically arises from the presence of excessive heavy metals and plastics. Consequently, the application of both organic and inorganic remedies to the soil treatment (T) class becomes crucial, where certain areas may experience recovery while others might reintroduce contaminants to the susceptible soil due to treatment failures. In the contemporary landscape, there is a notable surge in the utilization of heavy metals in daily activities, leading to a recurrent cycle where previously recovered soil reverts to a susceptible state. In light of the above, the transmission dynamics of soil pollution under treatment measures are given in the compartmental representation illustrated in Figure 1. This model encapsulates the intricate interplay between susceptible and treated soil areas, offering insights into the complex dynamics of soil pollution and the efficacy of remedial measures.
Figure 1. The schematic diagram for the soil pollution model.
The mathematical model of fractional order is presented as follows,
Dζ ,St=B-αSPN+βT+δR-μStCFF
Dζ, ℘ Pt=αSPN-γP-α1P-μPtCFF
Dζ ,℘ Tt=α1P-βT-γ1  T-μTtCFF
Dζ ,℘ Rt=γP+γ1T-δR-μRtCFF(1)
with the initial conditions,
S0=S00, P0=P00, T0=T00, R0=R00.  (2)
where the parameter and their descriptions are as follows, N is the total soil area with N=S+P+T+R
B – recruitment rate of the soil,
α - the pollution rate of the soil,
β- recovered re-enter to the susceptible rate due to failure of the treatment,
γ – natural recovered rate,
α1 - remediation rate,
γ1- recovered rate due to treatment,
δ- recovered re-enter to the susceptible class,
μ- death rate of all the classes.
3. Existence and Boundedness
For the fractional order system, the existence and uniqueness of solutions in the region RM×0,t, where RM=S,P,T,RR+4:maxS,P,T,Rη is considered, where η is some positive constant.
Theorem 3.1 If Y0=S0, P0,T0,R0RM, then for each Y0 there exists a unique solution YtRM of the system (1) with initial condition Y0 for all t0.
Proof: Let us consider the approach of and take RY=(R1Y,R2Y,R3Y,R4(Y)),
R1(Y)=B-αSP+βT+δR-μS
R2(Y)=αSP-γP-α1P-μP
R3(Y)=α1P-βT-γ1T-μT
    R4Y=γP+γ1T-δR-μR(3)
The system of equations (3) is reduced to,
R1(Y)=B-αSP+βT+δR-μS
R2(Y)=αSP-AP
R3(Y)=α1P-BT
 R4Y=γP+γ1T-CR, (4)
where, A=γ+α1+μ,  B=β+γ1+μ, C=δ+μ. For any,Y̌RM,
RY-RY̌=R1Y-R1Y̌+R2Y-R2Y̌+R3Y-R3Y̌+R4Y-R4Y̌
=B-αSP+βT+δR-μS-B+αŠP̌+βŤ+δŘ-μŠ+ αSP-AP-αŠP̌+AP̌
+α1P-BT-α1P̌+BŤ+|γP+γ1T-CR-γP̌-γ1Ť+CŘ|
αηS-Š+αηP-P̌+βT-Ť+δR-Ř+μS-Š+αηS-Š+αηP-P̌
+AS-Š+α1P-P̌+BT-Ť+γP-P̌+γ1T-Ť+CR-Ř
2αη+μS-Š+2αη+α1+γ+μP-P̌+2β+γ1+μT-Ť+2δ+μR-Ř
H S,P,T,R-Š,P̌,Ť,Ř
HY-Y̌,
where H=max{ 2αη+μ,2αη+α1+γ+μ,  2β+γ1+μ,  2δ+μ}
Hence RY satisfies the Lipshitz condition and so the existence and uniqueness of the solution of fractional order system (1) with the initial conditions are confirmed.
Theorem 3.2 The system of the fractional order of (1) in RM is non-negative and uniformly bounded.
Proof: The approach used by is followed. Define the function Wt=St+Pt+Tt+Rt and
Dζ ,℘ St=Dζ ,tCFFtCFFSt+Dζ ,tCFFPt+Dζ ,tCFFTt+Dζ ,tCFFR(t)
=B-αSP+βT+δR-μS+ αSP-γP-α1P-μP+α1P-βT-γ1T-μT+γP+γ1T-δR-μR
=B-S+P+T+Rμ
=B-Wtμ
Dζ ,tCFFWt+WtμB
Applying the standard comparison theorem for the fractional order given in , we have,
0WtW0Eζ-μζ=BμtζEζ,-tζ,
where Eζ is the Mittag Leffler function. By taking t, 0WtBμ. Therefore, the solution is uniformly bounded in the region R=S,P,T,RR+4,WtBμ+ϵ, ϵ>0 .
Now the non - non-negativity of the solution is studied for the fractional order system (1). In (1)
Dζ ,tCFFStS=0=B, Dζ ,tCFFPtP=0=0, Dζ ,tCFFTtT=0=0,Dζ ,tCFFRtR=0=0
Hence the solution of the system is non-negative.
4. Equilibrium and Stability Analysis
There are two equilibrium points exists for the model that are found by equating time derivatives in system (1) to zero as follows,
B-αSP+βT+δR-μS=0
αSP-γP-α1P-μP=0
α1P-βT-γ1T-μT=0
γP+γ1T-δR-μR=0(5)
The two steady states of the model (1) are given by,
Pollution free equilibrium point: P0Bμ,0,0,0
Pollution extinct equilibrium point: P*(S*,P*,T*,R*)
where S*=γ+α1+μα, T*=α1P*β+γ1+μ, R* =1δ+μγ+γ1α1β+γ1+μP*
P*=μγ+α1+μαR0-1γ+α1+μ-βα1β+γ1+μ+1δ1δ+μγ+γ1α1β+γ1+μ-1
P* is positive, when (i) R0<1 and γ+α1+μ<βα1β+γ1+μ+1δ1δ+μγ+γ1α1β+γ1+μ (or)
(ii) R0>1 and γ+α1+μ>βα1β+γ1+μ+1δ1δ+μγ+γ1α1β+γ1+μ
Basic Reproduction Number (BRN):
The next generation matrix (NGM) is used to find the BRN of the system (1)
Consider, Dζ ,tCFFAt=FY-V(Y), where FY=f1f2f3=αSP00
VY=V1V2V3=-(γ+α1+μ)γP+γ1T-(δ+μ)Rα1P-(β+γ1+μ)T
FYJ=f1Pf1Tf1Rf2Pf2Tf2Rf3Pf3Tf3R=αS000  000  00
VYJ=V1PV1TV1RV2PV2TV2RV3PV3TV3R=-(γ+α1+μ)00α1-(β+γ1+μ)0γγ1-(δ+μ)
V-1=1ADCDC0α1γ+α1CAC-α1γ1+0AD,
where A=-(γ+α1+μ), D=-(β+γ1+μ) , C=-(δ+μ). It follows that spectral radius of the matrix is ρFV-1=max(λ1,2,3) at pollution free equilibrium point P0. Therefore, the basic reproduction number is,
  R0=αBμ(γ+α1+μ).(6)
Theorem: 4.1 If all the eigen values have negative real part then the pollution free equilibrium point P0(S0,0,0,0) of the system (1) is locally asymptotically stable.
Proof: From the Matignon condition, we observe that the pollution free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable if and only if all the eigenvalues λi of the Jacobian (J(P0)) satisfy |arg(λi)|>2. The Jacobian matrix of the system (1) is
J[P]=F1SF1PF1TF1RF2SF2PF2TF2RF3SF3PF3TF3RF4SF4PF4TF4R= -αP-μαSβδα-(γ+α1+μ)000α1-(β+γ1+μ)00γγ1-(δ+μ)(7)
JP0=-μαBμβδ0-(γ+α1+μ)000α1-(β+γ+μ)00γγ1-(δ+μ).
Here are the eigenvalues, λ1=-μ,  λ2=-δ+μ,  λ3,4=-β+γ+μ0γ1-(δ+μ). Therefore, the eigenvalues λ3=-β+γ+μ,  λ4=-(δ+μ). It can be observed that all the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are negative. Hence by using the Matignon condition, we observe that the pollution-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable.
Theorem 4.2: The pollution extinction equilibrium point P*S*,P*,T*,R* is globally asymptotically stable if and only if R0>1 and μS+β2TT*4α+δ2RR*4(γ+γ1)P*S.
Proof: Consider the following nonlinear Lyapunov function,
Wt=S-S*-S*lnSS*+P-P*-P*lnPP*+T-T*-T*lnTT*+R-R*-R*lnRR*.(8)
Take the Lyapunov fractional derivative on both sides,
dWtdt=1-S*SṠ+1-P*PṖ+1-T*TṪ+1-R*RṘ (9)
=1-S*SB-αSP+βT+δR-μS+1-P*PαSP-γ+α1+μP
+1-T*Tα1P-β+γ1+μT+1-R*R[γP+γ1T-(δ+μ)R]
=1-S*SαS*P*+βT*+δR*-μS*-αSP+βT+δR-μS+1-P*PαSP-αS*P
+1-T*Tα1P-α1P*T*T+1-R*RγP+γ1T-γP*R*+γ1T*R* R
After some simplification we obtain,
=-α(T*-T)TT*-βTT*2αS-S*2-γ+γ1RR*R*-R-δRR*2γ+γ1S*-S2
+-P*S+ μS+β2TT*4α+δ2RR*4γ+γ1S-S*2
Finally, we conclude that, Dζ ,tCFFWt0, if and only if μS+β2TT*4α+δ2RR*4(γ+γ1)P*S.
The first derivative of a Lyapunov function is instrumental in evaluating the global stability of endemic equilibrium locations. It provides essential insights that can be further enriched by second derivative analysis. While the second derivative informs us about curvature through its sign, the first derivative offers valuable information on disease propagation. Examining the first derivative gives us insights into how the system evolves and spreads over time. Complemented by the second derivative examination, this analysis contributes to a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics and stability of endemic equilibria in disease models.
Taking the second derivative of (9),
dẆtdt=ddt1-S*SṠ+ddt1-P*PṖ+ddt1-T*TṪ+ddt1-R*RṘ
=ṠS2S*+ṖP2P*+ṪT2T*+ṘR2R*+1-S*SS̈+1-P*PP̈+1-T*TT̈+1-R*RR̈
where,
S̈=-αṠP-αṖS+βṪ+δṘ-μṠ
P̈=αṠP+αṖS-γṖ-α1Ṗ-μ-γṖ
T̈=α1Ṗ-βṪ-γ1Ṫ-μṪ
R̈=γṖ+γ1Ṫ-δR-μR
dẆtdt=ṠS2S*+ṖP2P*+ṪT2T*+ṘR2R*+1-S*S-αṠP-αṖS+βṪ+δṘ-μṠ
+1-P*PαṠP+αṖS-γṖ-α1Ṗ-μ-γṖ+1-T*Tα1Ṗ-βṪ-γ1Ṫ-μṪ
+ 1-R*RγṖ+γ1Ṫ-δR-μR
=ṠS2S*+ṖP2P*+ṪT2T*+ṘR2R*-μṠ+Ṗ+Ṫ+Ṙ-S*S-αṠP-αṖS+βṪ+δṘ-μṠ
-P*PαṠP+αṖS-γṖ-α1Ṗ-μ-γṖ-T*Tα1Ṗ-βṪ-γ1Ṫ-μṪ-  R*RγṖ+γ1Ṫ-δR-μR
Now, substituting the values of the derivative Ṡ,Ṗ,Ṫ,Ṙ and rearranging the terms of positive and negative groups, so that we have,
d2Wtdt=H1-H2
Therefore, we see that,
i. If  H1>H2 then d2Wtdt>0,
ii. If H1<H2 then d2Wtdt<0,
iii. If H1=H2 then d2Wtdt=0,
This interpretation explains the model's global behavior with respect to Lyapunov second order derivative.
Lemma 4.1: The given model (1) has no periodic orbits.
Proof: The proof has carried with a Dulac plus Poincare Bendixson theorem as follows:
hS,P=1SP , where all the parameters are positive.
.hf=Sh.f1+Ph.f2
=S(h.B-αSP+βT+δR-μS)+Ph.(αSP-γP-α1P-μP)
=-BS2P+βTS2P+δRS2P<0(10)
Hence, from the Dulac principle, we conclude that there is no periodic solution for the given region R.
5. Numerical Approximation
The numerical approximate solution of a system (1) is obtained using Laplace adomain decomposition method,
Applying Laplace transform on both sides of equation (1),
Substitute the initial condition (2) in the above equations,
sαLSt-sα-1S0=LB-αSP+βT+δR-μS
sαLPt-sα-1 P0=L(αSP-(γ+α1+μ)P)
sαLTt-sα-1T0=Lα1P-β+γ1+μT
sαLRt-sα-1R0=L(γP+γ1T-(δ+μ)R)
Now,
LSt=S0s+1sαLB-αSP+βT+δR-μS
LPt=P0s+1sαL(αSP-(γ+α1+μ)P)
LTt=T0s+1sαLα1P-β+γ1+μT
LRt=R0s+1sαL(γP+γ1T-(δ+μ)R)(11)
Consider the infinite series,
St=k=0Skt,  Pt=k=0Pkt,    Tt=k=0Tkt,  Rt=k=0Rk(t)(12)
Also consider the decomposition of nonlinear terms as follows,
StPt=k=0Akt(13)
where the decomposition polynomial Ak is defined as follows,
Ak=1(k+1)dkdλki=0kλiSiti=0kλiPitλ=0 
The first three polynomials are,
A0=S0tP0t,
A1=S0tP1t+S1tP0t
A2=2S0tP2t+2S1tP1t+2S2tP0t 
Substituting above equations in equation (11),
Lk=0Sk(t)=S0s+1sαLB-αk=0Akt+βk=0Tkt+δk=0Rkt-   μk=0Sk(t)
Lk=0Pk(t)=P0s+1sαL(αk=0Ak(t)-(γ+α1+μ)k=0Pk(t))
Lk=0Tkt=T0s+1sαLα1k=0Pkt-β+γ1+μk=0Tkt
Lk=0Rk(t)=R0s+1sαL(γk=0Pk(t)+γ1k=0Tk(t)-(δ+μ)k=0Rk(t))(14)
Comparing both sides of equation of (14),
LS0=N1s,
LS1=1sαB-αsαLA0+βsαLT0+δsα  LR0-μsαL(S0)
LS2=1sαB-αsαLA1+βsαLT1+δsα  LR1-μsαL(S1)
In general,LSk+1=1sαB-αsαLAk+βsαLTk+δsα  LRk-μsαL(Sk)(15)
LP0=N2s,
LP1=αsαLA0-γ+α1+μsαL(P0))
LP2=αsαLA1-γ+α1+μsαL(P1))
In general,LPk+1=αsαLAk-γ+α1+μsαL(Pk))(16)
LT0=N3s,
LT1=1sαα1L(P0)-β+γ1+μsαL(T0)
LT2=1sαα1L(P1)-β+γ1+μsαL(T1)
In general,LTk+1=1sαα1L(Pk)-β+γ1+μsαL(Tk))(17)
LR0=N4s,
LR1=1sαγ LP0+1sαγ1 LT0-1sα(δ+μ)L(R0)
LR2=1sαγ LP1+1sαγ1 LT1-1sα(δ+μ)L(R1)
In general, LRk+1=1sαγ LPk+1sαγ1 LTk-1sα(δ+μ)L(Rk)(18)
Taking Laplace inverse transform (LIT) on both sides of the above equations,
S0=N1
S1=BtαΓ(α+1)-tαΓα+1[αN1N2+βN3+δN4-μN1]
S2=BtαΓ(α+1)-tαΓα+1[αA1+βT1+δR1-μS1]
P0=N2
P1=tαΓα+1αN1N2-γ+α1+μN2
P2=tαΓα+1αA1-γ+α1+μN1
T0=N3
T1=tαΓα+1α1N2-β+γ1+μN3
T2=tαΓα+1α1P1-β+γ1+μT1
R0=N4
R1=tαΓα+1γN2+γ1N3-δ+μN4
R2=tαΓα+1γP1+γ1T1-δ+μR1.
Then we have,St=N1+S1+S2+S3+
Pt=N2+P1+P2+P3+
Tt=N3+T1+T2+T3+
Rt=N4+R1+R2+R3+
Substituting the initial and parameter values, we get the required numerical approximate solution for the equation (1).
6. Sensitivity Analysis
6.1. Local Sensitivity Analysis
The sensitivity analysis of each parameter of the basic reproduction number with respect to the model statements is performed in order to control the pollution spread through the soil. Sensitivity indices of each parameter in the BRN are calculated to implement the sensitivity analysis . The normalized forward sensitivity indices are obtained for different behavior of each parameter in prevalence of pollution transmission. Let M be a normalized forward index variables with respect to the dependent variable ρ and is defined as follows,
ρM=Mρ×ρM.
By using explicit form of basic reproduction number, we can find an analytical expression for various parameters of the normalized forward sensitivity indices. The normalized sensitivity analysis at the baseline for each parameter are predicted as follows,
BR0=R0B×BR0=1
αR0=R0α×αR0=1
μR0=R0μ×μR0=-(1+γ+α1+μ)γ+α1+μ
α1R0=R0α1×α1R0=-α1(γ+α1+μ)
γR0=R0γ×γR0=-γ(γ+α1+μ)
Sensitivity analysis is used to identify the important aspects of different parameters contribution in the results of the basic reproduction number which are based on their uncertainty estimation. Partial rank correlation is the acceleration method to find the statistical influence of the monotonicity relationship between any parameters and the basic reproduction number. The performance sensitivity index is presented in the above calculations which exhibit that positive signs are presented to be very proportionally and highly sensitive to the parameter values of R0 at the same time those with the negative sign predict less sensitivity to decrease R0 and other parameters are neutrally sensitive. The positive estimated parameters B and α have been increased (decrease) by 10 % and with the same percentage R0 is also increased (decrease). The remaining negative parameters decrease (increase) by 10% and the basic reproduction number R0 by increase (decrease) are estimated in Table 1.
The irrespective effect of the control parameter in basic reproduction number R0 for the most sensitive parametric representation is illustrated through different contour plots which are shown in Figures 8 and 9. In addition, the Figure 7 contour plot shows that increasing the necessary expected remediation rate for the pollution in the soil substance will ultimately reduce the invested amount of secondary pollution number. At the same time, the increased amount of pollution transmission has increased the secondary pollution number. Also, the reduction of pollution transferred into susceptible will decline the basic reproduction number R0. Figure 8 shows that when the amount gradual increase of recovery rate along with pollution transmission rate acknowledges the reduction of R0. In addition, the decline rate of transmission in the soil saturation has decreased the BRN.
Table 1. The evaluated parameters of the model (1) at baseline values for the normalized forward sensitivity indices of R0.

Parameter

Sensitivity indices

Critical values

B

BR0

1

α

αR0

1

α1

α1R0

-0.7741025239

γ

γR0

-0.1557454146

μ

μR0

-1.7824

6.2. Global Sensitivity Analysis
The selection of three sampling sites within Coimbatore city, particularly around the 1194 electroplating facilities primarily situated on black soils, underscored the interconnectedness of industrial and agricultural landscapes in the region. The strategic selection of sampling sites near industries and within 1km distance from primary waste and effluent disposal points facilitated a comprehensive assessment of potential soil contamination, highlighting the urgent need for remedial actions to mitigate the adverse effects of heavy metal pollution on both environmental and public health fronts.
Table 2. Analyzing Sensitivity indices of Cr using the Morris method and Normalized Forward sensitivity indices (R0=0.12857<1).

Parameter

Values

22]

Morris Method

NFSI

Ranges

B

0.0234

0

0.010523

0.1-0.3

α

0.2

0.0026402

0.086314

0.1-0.5

α1

0.9

0.35434

-0.16239

0.05-0.15

β

0.0233

0.25161

0.007436

0.01-0.03

γ

0.9

0.0076827

0.50965

0.05-0.15

γ1

0.35

0.23044

0.52066

0.05-0.15

δ

0.05

0.14256

-0.49234

0.1-0.3

μ

0.02

0.010727

-1.0433

0.01-0.03

Table 3. Analyzing Sensitivity indices of Ni using the Morris method and Normalized Forward sensitivity indices (R0=0.45<1).

Parameter

Values

22]

Morris Method

NFSI

Ranges

B

0.0234

0

0.01298

0.1-0.3

α

0.7

0.0026259

0.033217

0.2-0.7

α1

0.9

0.35209

-0.13826

0.05-0.15

β

0.0233

0.25952

0.04273

0.01-0.03

γ

0.9

0.0072494

0.52432

0.05-0.15

γ1

0.35

0.22444

0.52874

0.05-0.15

δ

0.05

0.14363

-0.48483

0.1-0.3

μ

0.02

0.010451

-1.0026

0.01-0.03

Figure 2. Parameter behaviors in terms Cd transmission using the sensitivity assessment.
Table 4. Analyzing Sensitivity indices of Cd using Morris method and Normalized Forward sensitivity indices (R0=0.57857<1).

Parameter

Values

22]

Morris Method

NFSI

Ranges

B

0.0234

0

0.013388

0.1-0.3

α

0.9

0.002596

0.018777

0.5-0.9

α1

0.9

0.34795

-0.13806

0.05-0.15

β

0.0233

0.26974

0.053694

0.01-0.03

γ

0.9

0.0070178

0.52282

0.05-0.15

γ1

0.35

0.22026

0.53043

0.05-0.15

δ

0.05

0.14165

-0.48194

0.1-0.3

μ

0.02

0.010788

-1.0433

0.01-0.03

Figure 3. Parameter behaviors in terms Ni transmission using the sensitivity assessment.
Figure 4. Parameter behaviors in terms Cr transmission using the sensitivity assessment.
7. Numerical Simulation and Discussion
In this section, the graphical representation of the model is shown for the chosen parameter values and initial values. The parameter values are N0= 41 acres, B=0.0234, α=0.2, β=0.20233, δ=0.05,  γ=0.2,  α1=0.9,  μ=0.02, γ1=0.35 with the initial conditions S0=20, P0=15, T0=5, R0=1. We use MATLAB (fde12) to plot the graph of the model (2.1). In Figure 2, h=2-6 and fractional order is 0.85. From Figure 2, we can observe that by increasing the necessary remedial to the polluted soil, there is an increase in recovered soil and a decrease in suspected soil.
Figure 5. Status of SPTR Model Trajectories for the Cr transmission.
Figure 6. Status of SPTR Model Trajectories for the Ni transmission.
Figure 7. Status of SPTR Model Trajectories for the Cd transmission.
Figure 8. Contour plots of R0 versus communication rate and recovered soil rate due to necessary remedies taken to control the major cause.
Figure 9. Contour plots of R0 versus communication rate and natural recovered rate due to healthy environment ecosystem.
Figure 10. Scatter Plot for different behavior of sensitive indices.
Figure 11. Dynamical effect of secondary pollution number with respect to the pollution cost. Dynamical effect of secondary pollution number with respect to the pollution cost.
8. Conclusion
The paper presents a sophisticated investigation into soil pollution dynamics through the lens of a nonlinear Caputo fractional order eco-epidemic model, specifically designed to capture the complexities of soil contamination. This model, termed SPTR, incorporates four distinct compartments, namely Susceptible soil (S), Polluted soil (P), Treatment or recycling of polluted soil (T), and Recovered soil (R), reflecting the intricate interplay of soil pollution and remediation processes. A pivotal aspect of the study lies in establishing the non-negative and unique existence solution of the model, a fundamental prerequisite for mathematical rigor and applicability. This validation is accomplished utilizing the fixed point theorem, underscoring the mathematical soundness of the proposed model. The investigation extends further to explore the local and global stability properties of both pollution-free equilibrium and pollution extinction equilibrium points within the model. Understanding the stability characteristics is essential for discerning the long-term behavior and resilience of the soil pollution system under various scenarios. To obtain practical insights into the dynamics of the system, the authors employ the Laplace Adomain decomposition method to derive approximate solutions. These solutions offer valuable predictive capabilities, enabling researchers to assess the behavior of the system across different fractional orders and parameter settings. One of the key findings highlighted in the paper pertains to the significance of fractional derivatives over integer derivatives. The flexibility afforded by fractional derivatives provides an additional degree of freedom, allowing for better alignment with empirical data and reduced inaccuracies in modeling soil pollution dynamics. The study emphasizes the importance of implementing effective remediation strategies to mitigate soil pollution. By increasing the treatment rate, the soil recovery process can be expedited, offering practical implications for environmental management and remediation efforts. In addition to theoretical investigations, the paper delves into practical assessments through global sensitivity analysis.
i. This analysis unveils varying concentrations of heavy metals, including total Cr, Ni, and Cd, across different industrial zones and agricultural fields in Coimbatore city, Tamil Nadu. The alarming revelation that Cd levels surpass background metal levels across all industries underscores the urgent need for remedial action to address heavy metal contamination effectively.
ii. Further, the paper represents a comprehensive exploration of soil pollution dynamics, offering theoretical insights, practical implications, and actionable recommendations for environmental stewardship and policy formulation.
Abbreviations

BRN

Basic Reproduction Number

NGM

Next Generation Matrix

Replication of Results
No results are presented.
Funding
This paper is not funded by any organization and funding agency.
Data Availability Statement
No underlying data were collected or produced in this study.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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    Pichandi, P., Ayyavu, S. (2024). Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model. International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science, 9(2), 38-51. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12

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    Pichandi, P.; Ayyavu, S. Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model. Int. J. Energy Environ. Sci. 2024, 9(2), 38-51. doi: 10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12

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    Pichandi P, Ayyavu S. Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model. Int J Energy Environ Sci. 2024;9(2):38-51. doi: 10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12,
      author = {Priya Pichandi and Sabarmathi Ayyavu},
      title = {Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model
    },
      journal = {International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science},
      volume = {9},
      number = {2},
      pages = {38-51},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijees.20240902.12},
      abstract = {This research investigates the profound impact of land pollution on soil degradation, stemming from human-made (xenobiotic) chemicals and alterations in soil composition. The framework explains a comprehensive nonlinear fractal fractional order eco-epidemic model, delineating four compartments: Susceptible soil (S), Polluted soil (P), Remediation or recycling of polluted soil (T), and Recovered soil (R). The study rigorously establishes the non-negative and unique existence of solutions using the fixed point theorem while analyzing the local and global stability of equilibrium points under pollution-free equilibrium and pollution extinct equilibrium. Dula’s criterion confirms periodic orbits, while categorizing changes in secondary reproduction numbers provides crucial insights into pollution dynamics, enhancing our understanding of system dynamics. Local and global sensitivity analyses, employing forward sensitivity and the Morris Method, yield essential findings for informed decision-making. Additionally, Adams-Bashforth's method is employed to approximate solutions, facilitating the integration of theoretical concepts with practical applications. Supported by numerical simulations conducted in MATLAB, the study offers a nuanced understanding of parameter roles and validates theoretical propositions, ultimately contributing valuable insights to environmental management and policy formulation.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Global Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Pollution Using Fractal Fractional Order Model
    
    AU  - Priya Pichandi
    AU  - Sabarmathi Ayyavu
    Y1  - 2024/08/15
    PY  - 2024
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12
    T2  - International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science
    JF  - International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science
    JO  - International Journal of Energy and Environmental Science
    SP  - 38
    EP  - 51
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2578-9546
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijees.20240902.12
    AB  - This research investigates the profound impact of land pollution on soil degradation, stemming from human-made (xenobiotic) chemicals and alterations in soil composition. The framework explains a comprehensive nonlinear fractal fractional order eco-epidemic model, delineating four compartments: Susceptible soil (S), Polluted soil (P), Remediation or recycling of polluted soil (T), and Recovered soil (R). The study rigorously establishes the non-negative and unique existence of solutions using the fixed point theorem while analyzing the local and global stability of equilibrium points under pollution-free equilibrium and pollution extinct equilibrium. Dula’s criterion confirms periodic orbits, while categorizing changes in secondary reproduction numbers provides crucial insights into pollution dynamics, enhancing our understanding of system dynamics. Local and global sensitivity analyses, employing forward sensitivity and the Morris Method, yield essential findings for informed decision-making. Additionally, Adams-Bashforth's method is employed to approximate solutions, facilitating the integration of theoretical concepts with practical applications. Supported by numerical simulations conducted in MATLAB, the study offers a nuanced understanding of parameter roles and validates theoretical propositions, ultimately contributing valuable insights to environmental management and policy formulation.
    
    VL  - 9
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • PG and Research Department of Mathematics, Auxilium College (Autonomous), Affiliated to Thiruvalluvar University, Vellore, India

  • PG and Research Department of Mathematics, Auxilium College (Autonomous), Affiliated to Thiruvalluvar University, Vellore, India